A Treatise on Ecological Science

Sustainable Development Goals: Good and Bad

Author(s): Vikas Rai *

Pp: 53-80 (28)

DOI: 10.2174/9789815322491124010007

* (Excluding Mailing and Handling)

Abstract

The central theme of human ecology is sustainable development. United Nations Organization (UNO) in 2015 identified 17 goals; known as sustainable development goals (SDGs), to be achieved by 2030. SDG1 (No poverty) and SDG2 (Zero hunger) are difficult to achieve. For the former, a workable measure of poverty is to be evolved. The poverty line defined by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UNDESA) is linked with the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which varies significantly for countries rich and poor. There is no relationship between poverty in the USA and India. It is relative poverty. A universal absolute poverty, which is not linked with Gross Domestic Product, needs to be considered. The prospect of whether the goal of zero hunger would be achieved, depends on the state of sustainable agriculture in a country at any given time. SDG2 may be achieved by 2030 with cooperation among rich and poor countries. If developing countries are provided soft credit by developed countries from time to time, a few targets could be achieved.

Agricultural productivity depends on capital. The interaction of disease and human capital leads to dynamics in the state space of the system represented by multiple equilibria (two stable equilibria and an intervening unstable equilibrium). If compared with the famous Lorenz attractor, which presents trajectories of two convective cells; one lying over the other, in the state space of the system (the bottom convective cell is heated up from below, with two unstable foci and an intervening saddle point), it is clear that the interaction of disease and human capital would generate oscillations in system’s state space. This explains why agricultural productivity varies; and oscillates between two states of low and high productivity. The incidence of unpredictable epidemics in this system would lead to chaos; which allows only short-term predictability. Therefore, SDG 3 (Good Health and Well–Being) appears to be wishful thinking. This knowledge adds value to SDG 12 (responsible consumption and production). Production refers to both agricultural and industrial.

Occupational Choice (SDG 3, SDG 8) is a critical factor. It depends on the beliefs and practices of the people of a nation. Banerjee & Newman (1993) developed a model of economic development. Economic development is considered as a process of institutional transformation. Capital market imperfections drive the dynamics of the system considered. Depending on the initial distribution of wealth, the economy generates two scenarios:1) either widespread cottage industry or factory production, 2) prosperity or stagnation. An individual’s decision of occupation depends on whether he/she is wealthy or poor. The poor go for employment contracts (factory production) and the wealthy go for entrepreneurship (widespread cottage industry). A society needs both kinds of people. An economy that is poised between two scenarios is desirable.

SDGs 13, 14, 15, and 17 are linked with each other in the sense that rain depends on tree cover present on the land surface. Water bodies receive water through precipitation which depends on the interaction between the sun and ocean; the reservoir of resources. Forest cover and land use patterns also affect climate. If rich countries help poor countries under the aegis of UNO through its different developmental programs, a few of the SDGs can be partially achieved. If developed nations continue to exploit situations in poor (developing) countries, then, there is no hope.


Keywords: Climate change, Distributive justice, Freedom, Family planning, Gross national product, Gross national income, Homeostasis, Industry, Institutional transformation, Occupational choice, Occupational safety, Poverty, Population growth, Sustainable agriculture, Sustainable human settlements.

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