The probabilistic approach of earthquake hazard analysis aims at estimating
the likelihood (probability) that any specified level of ground motion intensity will be
attained or exceeded in an arbitrary future time period due to the trigger of earthquakes
from potential seismic sources.
The analytical approach used to carry out probabilistic seismic hazard analysis is
described in detail by Cornell, 1968; 1971; Esteva, 1969; Merz and Cornell, 1973;
Cornell and Merz, 1975 and McGuire and Arabasz, 1990. The probabilistic seismic
hazard assessment requires all the available information on seismicity and geotectonics
of the examined region and regional attenuation characteristics of the ground motion as
well as the adoption of a stochastic model for the forecasting of future earthquake
occurrences.
Keywords: Abu Serga church, Ground Motion, Probabilistic Seismic Hazard
Analysis.
