Flood Risk Assessment and Management

Relevant Probability Concepts

Author(s): Dawei Han

Pp: 5-14 (10)

DOI: 10.2174/978160805047511101010005

* (Excluding Mailing and Handling)


Future floods cannot be predicted accurately. With our increased knowledge, epistemic uncertainty on floods can be reduced, but aleatory uncertainty is not reducible. Hence probability theory is the foundation for flood risk assessment and management. Floods can be treated as random variables with certain probability distributions.

Keywords: probability, epistemic uncertainty, aleatory uncertainty, probability distributions

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